Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Union had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.