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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 28, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
 

Argentinos Jrs
3 - 0
Gimnasia

Avalos (12'), Carabajal (49'), Sandoval (80')
Romero (60'), Gomez (69'), Mac Allister (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancilla (59'), Aleman (68')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Argentinos Juniors and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawGimnasia
53.01%26.15%20.85%
Both teams to score 43.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35%58.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8%79.2%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74%22.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3%55.71%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.55%43.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.33%79.67%
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 53%
    Gimnasia 20.85%
    Draw 26.15%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 14.53%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 53%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.06%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.05%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.85%

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