Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
