Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.