Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
