Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
