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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Carbonero (42')
Miguel Rodriguez (29'), Aleman (79'), Fratta (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Negri (68'), Lema (83')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
35.21%29.05%35.74%
Both teams to score 44.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38%62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.27%81.73%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71%33.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09%69.91%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06%32.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47%69.53%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 35.21%
    Newell's Old Boys 35.73%
    Draw 29.04%
GimnasiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 12.17%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.73%

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