Gimnasia
0 - 1
Sarmiento

Miguel Rodriguez (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Torres (45+1' pen.)
Garcia (29'), Rasmussen (42'), Vicentini (57'), Bazzana (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.14%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sarmiento in this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Sarmiento
35.05%	29.81%	35.14%

Both teams to score 42.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.49%

64.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.46%

83.54%

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27%

34.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54%

71.46%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33%

34.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6%

71.4%

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 35.05%

Sarmiento 35.13%

Draw 29.8%

Gimnasia	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.05%	1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.04% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.8%	0-1 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.13%