River Plate
2 - 1
Boca Juniors

Alvarez (25', 43')
Perez (5'), Alvarez (27'), Rollheiser (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zambrano (90+4')
Rojo (15')
Rojo (16')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Boca Juniors
46.3%	27.34%	26.35%

Both teams to score 46.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.43%

58.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.87%

79.13%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93%

60.06%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89%

38.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13%

74.87%

Score Analysis

River Plate 46.3%

Boca Juniors 26.35%

Draw 27.34%

River Plate	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.35%