Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
