Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.