Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
