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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 29, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Sepulveda (74')
Mendez (45'), Suso (53'), Papa (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Villalba (45'), Gomez (53'), Mac Allister (56'), Torren (83')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Argentinos Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Sarandi in this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawArgentinos Juniors
41.7%28.25%30.05%
Both teams to score 45.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.92%60.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.7%80.3%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6%28.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86%64.14%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.05%35.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.28%72.72%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 41.7%
    Argentinos Juniors 30.04%
    Draw 28.23%
Arsenal SarandiDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 30.04%

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