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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase - Quarter-Finals
May 15, 2021 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
I

Estudiantes
0 - 0
Independiente

Independiente win 4-1 on penalties

Rogel (33'), Apaolaza (75'), Sabbag (86')
FT
(aet)

Ortega (50'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Ortega (59')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase - Quarter-Finals clash between Estudiantes and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-0 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%).

Result
EstudiantesDrawIndependiente
31.61%29.99%38.39%
Both teams to score 41.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.65%65.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.87%84.13%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36%37.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.42%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.58%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 31.61%
    Independiente 38.39%
    Draw 29.97%
EstudiantesDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.13%
2-1 @ 6.57%
2-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 12.41%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.97%
0-1 @ 13.77%
0-2 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-3 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.39%

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