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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 15, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Único

Estudiantes
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Noguera (76')
Sanchez Mino (42'), Noguera (63'), Del Prete (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rojo (65')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.2%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.86%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawBoca Juniors
28.32%31.48%40.2%
Both teams to score 37.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.79%70.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.64%87.36%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9%43.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.63%79.37%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51%34.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8%71.2%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 28.32%
    Boca Juniors 40.19%
    Draw 31.47%
EstudiantesDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-1 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 1.57%
3-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.32%
0-0 @ 14.86%
1-1 @ 13.31%
2-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 31.47%
0-1 @ 15.82%
0-2 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-3 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.19%

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