Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.