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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 28, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
SL

Boca Juniors
0 - 2
San Lorenzo


Ezequiel Agustin Fernandez Carballo (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Peruzzi (31'), Ortigoza (47' pen.)
Fernandez (9'), Gordillo (33'), Rojas (38'), Peruzzi (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawSan Lorenzo
48.08%28.08%23.83%
Both teams to score 42.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.45%62.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.86%82.14%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76%26.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65%61.34%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.33%42.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.99%79.01%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 48.08%
    San Lorenzo 23.83%
    Draw 28.07%
Boca JuniorsDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.97%
2-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 48.08%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.83%

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