Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
