Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
