SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Lanus |
| 38.84% | 27.48% | 33.68% |
| Both teams to score 49.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% | 56.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% | 77.47% |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% | 28.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36% | 64% |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% | 31.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.67% |
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