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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 11, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
4 - 1
Gimnasia

Gudino (7', 74'), Delgadillo (32'), Sosa (41')
Leys (37'), Delgadillo (45+1'), Nievas (45+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Licht (83' pen.)
Meeld (45+1'), F (51'), Contin (90')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Patronato and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawGimnasia
32.75%29.02%38.23%
Both teams to score 44.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.92%62.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.21%81.79%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97%35.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23%71.77%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59%31.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22%67.78%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 32.74%
    Gimnasia 38.22%
    Draw 29%
PatronatoDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 12.73%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 38.22%

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