Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.