Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
