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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 13, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
AT

Santa Fe
2 - 2
Tucuman

Canete (30'), Borgnino (90+4')
Acevedo (15'), Zenon (39'), Pitton (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carrera (17'), Vergini (40')
Risso (34'), Acosta (68'), Toledo (70'), Monzon (87'), Ortiz (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Santa Fe and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Santa FeDrawAtletico Tucuman
41.68%28.31%30.02%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.71%60.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.54%80.46%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91%36.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13%72.87%
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 41.68%
    Atletico Tucuman 30.01%
    Draw 28.3%
Santa FeDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 30.01%

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