Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
