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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 27, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
1 - 0
Gimnasia

FT(HT: 0-0)

Weigandt (89'), (90+2')
(90')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Independiente and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawGimnasia
45.76%27.77%26.47%
Both teams to score 45.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40%59.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.76%80.23%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78%26.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68%61.32%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19%38.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46%75.54%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.76%
    Gimnasia 26.47%
    Draw 27.77%
IndependienteDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.47%

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