Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
