Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.