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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 1, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Santa Fe
3 - 2
Lanus

Manuel Garcia (36', 55'), Eduardo Juarez (90+4')
Calderon (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsini (16'), Sand (51' pen.)
Perez (45+1'), Burdisso (61')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Santa Fe and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Santa FeDrawLanus
35.43%28.57%35.99%
Both teams to score 46.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.66%60.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.5%80.49%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71%32.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21%68.78%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07%31.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62%68.38%
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 35.43%
    Lanus 35.98%
    Draw 28.56%
Santa FeDrawLanus
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.43%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 11.76%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.98%

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