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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 26, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
P

Lanus
4 - 2
Patronato

Sand (45+1' pen.), Belmonte (60'), De la Vega (80'), Vera (87')
Perez (30'), De la Vega (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benitez (83'), Sosa (90')
Leys (33'), Benitez (63'), Barreto (65'), Geminiani (69')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Lanus and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawPatronato
49.79%24.99%25.22%
Both teams to score 52.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52%50.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59%72.4%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71%20.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35%52.65%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34%34.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61%71.38%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 49.78%
    Patronato 25.22%
    Draw 24.98%
LanusDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.22%

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