Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.