Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.