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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 9, 2021 at 10pm UK
Tomas A. Duco
I

Huracan
1 - 3
Independiente

Cristaldo (45')
Bonifacio (8'), Erquiaga (40'), Yacob (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moya (26' og.), Romero (63'), Blanco (81')
Blanco (68')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Huracan and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
HuracanDrawIndependiente
29.74%28.04%42.22%
Both teams to score 46.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.51%59.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.15%79.85%
Huracan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13%35.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36%72.64%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57%63.43%
Score Analysis
    Huracan 29.73%
    Independiente 42.21%
    Draw 28.04%
HuracanDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 29.73%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 12.76%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 42.21%

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