Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
