Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.