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I
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
F

Independiente
1 - 0
Fenix

Romero (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Souza (45+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Independiente and Fenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawFenix
61.44%23.15%15.41%
Both teams to score 42.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45%55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73%76.27%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46%17.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93%48.07%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.07%47.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.82%83.18%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 61.44%
    Fenix 15.41%
    Draw 23.14%
IndependienteDrawFenix
1-0 @ 14.63%
2-0 @ 12.73%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 5.44%
4-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2%
5-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 61.44%
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 8.41%
2-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 15.41%

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