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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 22, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
0 - 1
Boca Juniors


Scocco (31'), Rivero (59'), Llano (64'), Capasso (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Izquierdoz (71')
Cardona (31'), Zambrano (40')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawBoca Juniors
33.06%26.5%40.44%
Both teams to score 52.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27%52.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63%74.37%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%30%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.88%66.12%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35%25.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45%60.55%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 33.06%
    Boca Juniors 40.44%
    Draw 26.5%
Newell's Old BoysDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.44%

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