Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 1-0 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.