Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.27%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
