Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.