Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.