Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.13%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.