Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
