Estudiantes
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

Pasquini (11'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Zuqui (60'), Javier Ayovi Corozo (67'), Rogel (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (71'), Fernandez (87'), Cerutti (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	San Lorenzo
41.69%	28.94%	29.37%

Both teams to score 43.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.41%

62.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.83%

82.17%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37%

29.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33%

65.66%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15%

37.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37%

74.62%

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 41.69%

San Lorenzo 29.36%

Draw 28.93%

Estudiantes	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 8.06% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.45% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.93%	0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.68% Total : 29.36%