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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

Platense
2 - 1
Arsenal

Bogado (22' pen.), Acevedo (32')
Mansilla (35'), Gerzel (63'), Schott (66'), Bogado (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Farioli (76' pen.)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Platense and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.

Result
PlatenseDrawArsenal Sarandi
37.38%27.48%35.14%
Both teams to score 49.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69%56.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66%77.34%
Platense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94%29.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03%64.97%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56%30.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36%66.64%
Score Analysis
    Platense 37.38%
    Arsenal Sarandi 35.14%
    Draw 27.48%
PlatenseDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 6.26%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.14%

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