Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.