Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Platense had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Platense win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
