Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
