Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.