Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Platense had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
