Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
