Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
