Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match.
