Patronato
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Sosa (28'), Nievas (90+6')
Delgadillo (31'), Nievas (69'), Nahuel Banega (81'), Benitez (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Salvareschi (39'), Bravo (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.

Result
Patronato	Draw	Sarmiento
46.03%	28.45%	25.52%

Both teams to score 42.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.3%

62.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.75%

82.25%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65%

27.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2%

62.8%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.82%

41.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.29%

77.71%

Score Analysis

Patronato 46.03%

Sarmiento 25.52%

Draw 28.44%

Patronato	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 14.6% 2-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.73% Total : 46.03%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.24% Total : 25.52%