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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 24, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella
S

Patronato
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Garay (71')
Nievas (26'), Garcia (65'), Urribarri (82'), Arias (86'), Guasone (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Salvareschi (68')
Salvareschi (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Patronato and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawSarmiento
50.81%25.94%23.25%
Both teams to score 47.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24%55.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11%76.89%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78%22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69%55.31%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65%39.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94%76.06%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 50.81%
    Sarmiento 23.25%
    Draw 25.93%
PatronatoDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 23.25%

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