Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.