Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.
