Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.